Equity We maintain last week’s view that fresh longs may be initiated once the Nifty crosses 4,450. Momentum indicators turned positive last week on daily charts and the Nifty is likely to test 4,450 this week. Investors can start buying once Nifty breaks its 20 DMA, which is at 4,450. Above 4,450 we may see a sharp pre-Budget rally. On the downside, there is a strong support at 4,270 on weekly charts. In case the Nifty breaks this support then the investors should reduce long exposure.
Commodity We mentioned last week that gold has major resistance at 14,700. However, gold managed to cross this barrier towards the end of last week. Momentum indicators turned positive on daily charts after a long time. Investors can go long in gold with a stoploss of 14,600.
Currency Dollar-rupee pair touched a high of 48.53 last week and corrected later after momentum indicators turned negative for the dollar. It can slide to 47.60 where it has some support from its 20 DMA. Investors can go long on rupee with a stoploss of 48.80.