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Why TCS shares are down 7% in 3 days

Tata Consultancy Services, India's biggest software services outsourcer, was the biggest drag on the BSE IT index Tuesday. The stock traded lower for the third straight day despite the broader market rally that has sent the BSE Sensex at a 14-month high. TCS shares have now fallen nearly 7 per cent over the last three trading sessions.
Here are the reasons for the sharp fall in TCS:
  1. The TCS management warned analysts about the possibility of lower margins in the second quarter. Q2 earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are seen growing at a slower pace than the 27.5 per cent in the first quarter.

  2. The TCS management also expects Q2 volume growth to be slower than the 5.3 per cent in the June quarter.

  3. The company has increased on-site hiring in the second quarter, which may result in higher salaries.

  4. TCS also cited higher growth in the APAC region, where margins are lower than average.

  5. Brokerages are not upbeat on the stock. Global brokerage CLSA said over ownership makes the risk-reward for the stock further unfavourable at current levels. We will use the recent strength to pare position in the stock.

    What came as a negative surprise to us was the relatively downbeat margin commentary in analyst meet. Stock trades at 19-times FY13E EPS with limited upside in our view, Jefferies said.

Story first published on: September 18, 2012 09:58 (IST)

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